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Trump v. Selzer: Donald Trump Sues Pollster J. Ann Selzer for ā€˜Consumer Fraudā€™ Over Iowa Poll

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Case Overview

The First Amendment protects speech about political affairs, even when officials ā€” whether itā€™s your local mayor or the President of the United States ā€” claim itā€™s false. Thatā€™s been true since Americaā€™s youth, when American jurors  a British governorā€™s attempt to use libel laws to censor a newspaper and Thomas Jefferson pushed back against the , which criminalized criticism of the government.

After Donald Trump comfortably won Iowa, pollster J. Ann Selzer owned up to the margin between her poll and the eventual outcome of Trump comfortably winning Iowa. She acknowledged the ā€œbiggest miss of my careerā€ and did what good pollsters do: She explained her methodology and publicly shared the pollā€™s  (results reported out by demographic and attitudinal subgroups), its questionnaire (with  and ), and her , . 

Nevertheless, Trump filed a performative lawsuit against pollster J. Ann Selzer and The Des Moines Register, arguing that publishing a poll predicting a win by Kamala Harris amounted to ā€œconsumer fraud.ā€ Trump seeks triple monetary damages and an injunction against the publication of future ā€œdeceptiveā€ polls.

Trumpā€™s lawsuit, which he claimed was going to ā€œ,ā€ is simply another misguided attempt to claim that ā€œfalseā€ political speech can be punished by the government through its courts. But the governmentā€™s ability to punish ā€œfalseā€ speech is exceedingly narrow (defamation, for example, is not protected) and none of the few circumstances where ā€œfalseā€ speech can be regulated are applicable here. Publishing a poll ā€” a prediction about a future election result ā€” is not ā€œconsumer fraudā€ under Iowaā€™s , which is geared toward conduct like rolling back the odometer on a used car. Nor is it ā€œinterferenceā€ with an election under , which is limited to conduct like submitting a ā€œcounterfeit official election ballotā€ and other forms of direct interference with the conduct of an election. Publishing a poll is protected speech under the First Amendment.

In keeping with  by Trump, the lawsuit is a SLAPP ā€” a Strategic Lawsuit Against Public Participation, the legal tactic of filing a baseless lawsuit and forcing a defendant to spend time and money to get it dismissed. SLAPP suits are intended to make it costly to criticize the plaintiff (even if the plaintiff loses), chilling speech. While some states have anti-SLAPP statutes that deter such suits by forcing a losing plaintiff to pay the defendantsā€™ attorneyā€™s fees, Iowa does not have such a statute.

FIRE came to Selzerā€™s defense, providing her with free legal representation to fight Trumpā€™s lawsuit. In doing so, FIREis helping to prevent the use of SLAPPs, taking the cost of attorneysā€™ fees off the table. When you have to pay attorneysā€™ fees to defend your free speech, your speech is not free.

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